{"id":914,"date":"2026-01-25T13:56:26","date_gmt":"2026-01-25T13:56:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/?page_id=914"},"modified":"2026-02-05T16:24:44","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T16:24:44","slug":"8-chance-og-risiko","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/","title":{"rendered":"8. Chance og risiko"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_82_2 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title\" style=\"cursor:inherit\">Indholdsfortegnelse<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/#1_Forsta_chancer_og_risiko_nej_jeg_kan_ikke_laere_dig_at_vinde_i_Oddset\" >1. Forst\u00e5 chancer og risiko (nej jeg kan ikke l\u00e6re dig at vinde i Odd&#8217;set)<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/#Opgaver\" >Opgaver<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/#81_Quiz_Hvor_gammel_bliver_du\" >8.1 Quiz. Hvor gammel bliver du?<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/#82_Chancer_og_sandsynligheder\" >8.2 Chancer og sandsynligheder<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"1_Forsta_chancer_og_risiko_nej_jeg_kan_ikke_laere_dig_at_vinde_i_Oddset\"><\/span>1. Forst\u00e5 chancer og risiko (nej jeg kan ikke l\u00e6re dig at vinde i Odd&#8217;set)<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Chancer og risiko \u2013 kort opl\u00e6g<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Chancer og risiko handler om:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Hvor sandsynligt noget er&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Om noget er sikkert, muligt eller usandsynligt&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Vi bruger chancer og risiko i hverdagen:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Vejrudsigt&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Spil og lotteri&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sundhed&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u00d8konomi&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>M\u00e5der at angive chancer p\u00e5<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Chancer kan angives som:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Br\u00f8ker (fx 1\/4)&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Procenter (fx 25 %)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Forholdstal: (fx 1 : 4)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Ord (fx lille, stor, ingen risiko)&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sammenh\u00e6ng:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>1\/2 = 50 %&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1\/4 = 25 %&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>3\/4 = 75 %&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Hvad er risiko?<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Risiko er:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sandsynligheden for at noget u\u00f8nsket sker&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Eksempler:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Risiko for regn&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Risiko for at tabe penge&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Risiko for sygdom&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Jo st\u00f8rre chance, jo st\u00f8rre risiko&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Sikker, mulig og umulig<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sikker:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Noget der altid sker&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sandsynlighed: 100 %&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mulig:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Noget der kan ske&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sandsynlighed mellem 0 % og 100 %&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Umulig:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Noget der ikke kan ske&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sandsynlighed: 0 %&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Vigtige pointer<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Risiko kan ikke fjernes helt&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Man kan:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Mindske risiko&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Sammenligne risici&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Det er vigtigt at forst\u00e5 tal og procenter&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Link til <a href=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/\">toppen af siden<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Opgaver\"><\/span>Opgaver<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"81_Quiz_Hvor_gammel_bliver_du\"><\/span>8.1 Quiz. Hvor gammel bliver du?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Tag testen: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.experimentarium.dk\/kroppen\/aldersberegneren-se-gammel-du\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.experimentarium.dk\/kroppen\/aldersberegneren-se-gammel-du\/<\/a>&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hvis testen siger, at du kan forvente at leve i 85 \u00e5r, passer det s\u00e5?&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Mange l\u00e6ger p\u00e5st\u00e5r, at rygning kan v\u00e6re farligt for helbredet. Men der er folk, som ryger 40 cigaretter om dagen, og som bliver langt over 80 \u00e5r gamle. Det gjorde min mormor i hvert fald. Hvordan h\u00e6nger det sammen, er l\u00e6gerne fulde af l\u00f8gn eller hvad?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Link til <a href=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/\">toppen af siden<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"82_Chancer_og_sandsynligheder\"><\/span>8.2 Chancer og sandsynligheder<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>1. Plat eller krone<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En m\u00f8nt har:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2 sider&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hvad er chancen for plat?\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Svar som:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Br\u00f8k&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Procent&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Du har nu sl\u00e5et plat ikke mindre end 5 gange i tr\u00e6k\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Hvad er sandsynligheden for, at det sker?&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hvad er sandsynligheden for, at du ved n\u00e6ste kast f\u00e5r krone?&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>2. Spinnehjul<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Et spilhjul har:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>4 felter&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>1 gevinstfelt (i alt 5 felter)&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hvad er chancen for gevinst&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>3. Roulette<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Der er 37 felter p\u00e5 en roulette. 36 numre og et blankt nummer 0. Ordet &#8220;roulette&#8221; er i \u00f8vrigt fransk og betyder &#8220;lille hjul&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"500\" height=\"332\" src=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-292.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-956\" style=\"width:267px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-292.png 500w, https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/image-292-300x199.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hvad er sandsynligheden for gevinst, hvis du spiller p\u00e5 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Alle de lige numre<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Alle numre, der g\u00e5r op i 3. Dem er der 12 af<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I Danmark genererede online casinoer et \u00e5r DKK 389 mio. ud af et samlet gamblingmarked p\u00e5 DKK 683 mio. Hvis vi antager, at online casinoer kun spiller roulette og at de kun f\u00e5r gevinster netto hver gang, at rouletten lander p\u00e5 0. Hvor meget kunne de s\u00e5 stoppe i lommen det \u00e5r?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I amerikansk roulette er der ikke 1 men 2 &#8220;0&#8221;-felter, dvs. at der er 38 felter (Las Vegas er og bliver Las Vegas, den sk\u00f8reste by som jeg har v\u00e6ret i). Hvis det nu blev indf\u00f8rt i Danmark, hvor meget vil det \u00f8ge gevinsten for online casinoerne. Vi antager igen en oms\u00e6tning p\u00e5 389 mio. kr og at casinoerne kun f\u00e5r gevinst, hver gang at kuglen lander p\u00e5 &#8220;0&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Ekstra<\/strong>: Der findes virkeligt mange typer &#8220;bets&#8221;, alts\u00e5 v\u00e6ddem\u00e5l inden for roulette. Pr\u00f8v at beregne sandsynlighederne for gevinst p\u00e5 et par bets. Kender du lige som mig ikke bets, s\u00e5 s\u00f8g hj\u00e6lp online.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5l, der intet har med matematik at g\u00f8re<\/strong>: Hvilken by i verden er verdens suver\u00e6nt st\u00f8rste spilleby? Og det er ikke Las Vegas, selvom de g\u00f8r deres bedste.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>4. Bolde<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Der er 10 bolde i en pose:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>3 r\u00f8de&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>7 bl\u00e5&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hvad er chancen for at tr\u00e6kke en r\u00f8d bold?&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>5. Vejret<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">S\u00e6t kryds:&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Det regner i morgen \u2192 sikker \/ mulig \/ umulig&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Solen st\u00e5r op i morgen \u2192 sikker \/ mulig \/ umulig&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hvid jul n\u00e6ste juleaften \u2192 sikker \/ mulig \/ umulig&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>AGF vinder Champions League n\u00e6ste \u00e5r&nbsp;&nbsp; \u2192 sikker \/ helt sikker \/ absolut sikker \ud83d\ude42<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bundby rykker ned i 3. division n\u00e6ste \u00e5r&nbsp; \u2192 sikker \/ mulig \/ umulig&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>6. Vare med risiko<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>En vare har:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>20 % risiko for fejl&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Er risikoen:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Lille&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Middel&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Stor?&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Er det kritisk, at varen har 20% risiko for fejl&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>7. Hverdagens risiko<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Giv eksempler p\u00e5 lille risiko&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Giv eksempler p\u00e5 h\u00f8j risiko&nbsp;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hvad er chancen for at f\u00e5 en fartb\u00f8de, hvis du k\u00f8rer for st\u00e6rkt\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Giv grunde til, at folk normalt k\u00f8rer efter reglerne&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Link til <a href=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/\">toppen af siden<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>1. Forst\u00e5 chancer og risiko (nej jeg kan ikke l\u00e6re dig at vinde i Odd&#8217;set) Chancer og risiko \u2013 kort opl\u00e6g&nbsp; M\u00e5der at angive chancer p\u00e5&nbsp; Hvad er risiko?&nbsp; Sikker, mulig og umulig&nbsp; Vigtige pointer&nbsp; Link til toppen af siden. Opgaver 8.1 Quiz. Hvor gammel bliver du? Link til toppen af siden. 8.2 Chancer og &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/8-chance-og-risiko\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">8. Chance og risiko<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-914","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/914","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=914"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/914\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1387,"href":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/914\/revisions\/1387"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bliv-klogere.dk\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=914"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}